Race 1 6 F Dirt $43000 Alw
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
D/L Trk Dist Sf CV+- Type Fig1 Fig2 Fig3 Fig4 Fig5 R/Htot FigAvg FigDif
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NATTY MEBOY
54d BEL 6F D -0.3 MClm 17:16 11:11 4:5 0:0 32:32 8:8 (0)
with a CV of -.3 and Fig1 and Fig2 basically even and a 0 FigDif, not looking like a winner,
lets see what else we have in here.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PAPA CHARLIE
66d SUF 5F D -1.5 MSpWt 14:14 8:8 3:3 25:25 8.3:8.3 (0)
with a CV of -1.5(he is really going against it with that fig) and Fig1 and Fig2 even and a 0
FigDif, looks less a winner than the NATTY BOY
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WICKED CLIMB
20d BEL 1M D 1.3 ngStk 11:10 10:10 8:3 1:0 30:23 7.5:5.8 (-1.7)
a CV of 1.3(we like that, and no horse is higher), and Fig1 and Fig2 basically even, looks
like a contender so far, even with the -1.7 FigDif(only real negative factor)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEVER MARTINI
29d BEL 6F D -0.3 MClm 15:10 10:10 6:14 3:5 34:39 8.5:9.8 (1.3)
with a CV of -.3 and Fig1 is 5 below the RaceRate, and Fig2 even, 1.3 FigDif is good
though. He has 2 negative factors, but that 1.3 is nice, but at only at odds of 4.4, not worth
it. If he had only one negative factor, then would be a contender as that 1.3 is strong
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DOUGHDADDY
47d BEL 7F D 1.3 ngStk 12:8 10:10 7:3 1:0 30:21 7.5:5.2 (-2.3)
a CV of 1.3(we like that, tied with 2 others), and Fig1 is 4 below and Fig2 even, FigDif is
not so hot at -2.3, this is another horse with 2 negatives and one positive
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CALL TO DUTY
68d FL 5 1/2F D -1.3 MSpWt 15:15 10:10 3:3 0:0 28:28 7:7 (0)
with a CV of -1.3(practically eliminates him) and Fig1 and Fig2 basically even and a 0
FigDif, not looking like a winner, lets see what else we have.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
J T MOORE
44d BEL 6F D -0.3 MClm 16:16 12:12 5:5 0:0 33:33 8.2:8.2 (0)
with a CV of -.3 and Fig1 and Fig2 basically even and a 0 FigDif, not looking like a winner,
lets see what else we have in here.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FIDDLERS AFLEET
20d BEL 1M D 1.3 ngStk 11:10 10:10 8:7 1:0 30:27 7.5:6.8 (-0.7)
a CV of 1.3(we like that, and no horse is higher), and Fig1 and Fig2 basically even, looks
like a contender so far, -.07 not great, but not the worst.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We are presenting a few ways on how to interpret the data. This is NOT the only way!
In the future we will present some other ideas as well as appreciate any one else's
ideas on how to use the HUP figs. This is a total new look to an old puzzle, become
familiar with its use. You will realize what a powerful tool these really are.
RECAP********************************
Not seeing horses with great Fig1 or Fig2 gains in this race, so looking at mostly CV and
horses who are not showing poor Fig1 and Fig2 numbers. Sometimes horses who just ran
early can be contenders, especially when many horses seem to not even be able to run
even early. So, just what we like, only 2 legit contenders, FIDDLERS AFLEET and
WICKED CLIMB. They were the only 2 horses with good CV and were able to run even in
Fig1 and Fig2. FIDDLERS AFLEET looks a bit better as Fig3 is stronger. (At Aqueduct I
give the first 2 Figs priority.) But FIDDLERS AFLEET's Fig3 is better as is the FigDif. Ok,
thats our 2 horses. Bad news is FIDDLERS AFLEET's odds are .45 to 1, but good news is
WICKED CLIMB's odds are 10.40 to 1! No value for a win bet on FIDDLERS AFLEET at
those short odds. WICKED CLIMB however is. I would bet WICKED CLIMB for WIn/Place
and bet FIDDLERS AFLEET and WICKED CLIMB in an exacta box and a little more on a
straight FIDDLERS AFLEET over WICKED CLIMB exacta.
Well WICKED CLIMB beat FIDDLERS AFLEET, paying $22.80 and $5.30, the exacta was
$42.80. The only tickets we would throw away were the exacta tickets with FIDDLERS
AFLEET over WICKED CLIMB, but with FIDDLERS AFLEET looking a bit better by our figs,
we had to do that, but we did not bet him to win as those odds being well under 2 to 1 just
wont cut it in the long run.
* Copyright 2008 Top Speed Horses LLC All Rights Reserved